Ladies and Gentlemen,
It is a pleasure to appear here today before an audience intent and so
much determined on doing business in Azerbaijan. And my sincere thanks
to our friends at BISNIS, who are doing such a tremendous job at
establishing closer economic links between our countries.
Where We Started
Since restoring its independence Azerbaijan has aimed for both
western-style democracy and also for implementing transition towards the
market economy. Back in 1992-1993, while the main issue was the survival
of Azerbaijan as a sovereign nation we at the same time have done our
best to overcome crisis and stabilize the economic situation. At that
time this work was challenged by the disruption of traditional economic
ties and division of labor which existed in the former Soviet Union, by
lack of internal stability in my country, as well as by the ongoing
Armenian aggression, and plight of refugees and displaced. It was at the
end of that period that the rate of inflation reached its absolute high
at 1600%, as did unemployment. Production plummeted in both industry and
agriculture.
This was the reality when we started our efforts to transform our
economy.
Oil as a Tool
I would remind you that in contrast with the image of Azerbaijan as an
energy-producing country in 1993-1994 we actually imported energy. By that
time it has been well understood in Azerbaijan, that without Western
technology and investments it would be impossible to develop new
oil-fields in the Caspian Sea.
Overcoming internal and external obstacles Azerbaijan managed to sign
its first contract in 1994 and to create consortium of 12 companies
representing 8 countries. Today Azerbaijan International Operating
Company - the AIOC, accomplished the so-called "early oil" stage of the
development and is producing now more than expected, about 130.000
barrels per day. The first contract proved that the chosen legislative
background, the format of PSA created the best possible conditions for
foreign investors. The energy strategy of the President and the
Government aimed at restructuring the economy was thus put into action.
Flow of major foreign investments started.
Real Transformation
The foundation laid in the initial years enabled us to proceed with the
transformation proper since 1995-1996. In these two years Azerbaijan
started its privatization programs, the most obvious precondition of
moving to the market economy from the centralized, directive-driven
economy of the Soviet time. Land privatization can be a very positive
example here. Having completed privatizing land (with over 95% of land,
privatized and farmers emerging as a social group), we now have achieved
production growth of certain food articles by up to 45% in the last 5
years, and with the share of food products declining steadily in
Azerbaijan's imports, from 42% in 1995 to just 16% last year. Where are
the roots of this breakthrough? The August 1996 Land Reform Law has
created momentum for the revival of the sector. This legislation paved
the way for transfer of land ownership from State to private enterprises
and established the rights to sell, lease, inherit, and mortgage the
land. For
future development of Azerbaijan's agriculture and rural
entrepreneurship my country will need foreign credits and additional
investments, since the internal reform resources are mostly exhausted.
After the privatization of the small and medium state-owned businesses
(close to 100% privatized), we are now successfully proceeding with the
privatization of larger enterprises. Altogether, 24, 000 small and over
1,500 medium and large enterprises have been privatized.
It was at that time that we began capitalizing on the growing attention
to my country's geographical location, which makes it the regional and
international hub. Azerbaijan is closely working with the EU, EBRD and
other institutions over projects like TRACECA (European Commission's
Transport Corridor Europe-Caucasus-Asia program), restoration of the
ancient Silk Road etc. To show the dynamics of progress, let me give
you some figures. 4,7 mln t of goods were transported within the
framework of the TRACECA program in 1999, with this figure growing
constantly and reaching 5,2 mln t in 2000 and 8,7 mln t in 2001.
GUUAM, the group of five post-Soviet states, has also become
instrumental in promoting the cooperation by fully utilizing the
geostrategic location. The general strategy of those Governments is to
remove all sorts of obstacles on the path of multilateral economic
cooperation, as documented by the October 2001 meeting of the high-level
representatives of the national Chambers of Commerce of the five in
Baku.
In these years Azerbaijan also started its program of creating a new
legal basis for the economy transformation, updating, and on many cases
adopting brand-new pieces of legislation. Our ultimate goal here is to
create similar level of trust among foreign investors in the non-energy
sector, as we did for the oil companies through the PSAs. Now we can
proudly refer to the new Civil, Tax, Customs Codes, as well as a number
of lesser acts, which were passed in these years, including the Law on
Trade Marks and Service Marks, Law on Protection of Foreign Investments,
Budget Systems Law, Public Procurement Law, and recently adopted Law on
the Chamber of Accounts.
Along the Path of Reforms: Energy Sector and Beyond.
As a result of the abovementioned, the stagnation tendency has been
reversed, and the economy started growing steadily (9,9% GDP growth in
2001, equaling $500 million). Overall GDP growth since 1996 is 55%,
averaging over 9% a year. There also was in considerable growth of total
investment as Azerbaijan has been looking more and more promising to
foreign investors, with total foreign investments in the economy
exceeding $7 billion in the last six years, including $3 billion in the
non-oil sector. It is well-known that from 1994 to 2000, Azerbaijan
received more foreign direct investment, per capita, than any other of
the NIS countries (in 1996-1999 FDIs in Azerbaijani economy comprised 15%
of all NIS FDI portfolio).
On equal pace we have been dealing with the internal problems of
development, bringing the level of inflation down to 1,4% in 2001, and
cutting budget deficit to 0,4%. Tax collection has grown considerably,
in yet another reflection of Azerbaijani leadership's attention to
creating favorable economic climate in the country.
Still, we obviously have to overcome passive approach by many foreign
companies outside energy sector, who have continued to fence-sit,
first waiting for the legal groundwork to be completed, and later to see how the infrastructure developed.
I would like to say a few words on the role of multilateral credit
institutions in Azerbaijan's transition to a new economic model. Those
lenders support institution building while also providing financing for
new projects. The multis, as they are sometimes called, active in my
country, include the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, Asian
Development Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and
others. The IMF, with its highly-developed system of economic leverage,
has become a prominent force in Azerbaijan's development. It has become
an arbiter of the development, using the economic criteria it had set
for aid disbursement. As an example, Azerbaijan has met and even
exceeded all the criteria set by the IMF for its 2001 - approved $100 million poverty reduction and growth facility, including real GDP
growth, amount of net foreign reserves of the Central Bank etc.
The Government has to take into account social situation in the country
while pursuing the strategy of economic transition. This is imperative
and inevitable. Here we managed to achieve full understanding with the
World Bank, despite the latter's urgings, for example, that we raise the
energy tariffs on the domestic market, which would lead to burdening
individual consumers.
Under the leadership of President Heydar Aliyev Azerbaijan has
progressed along the path of re-structuring the economy, using the
energy sector as both driving force behind those changes and the core of
the newly-established market economy.
Privatization and creation of an investor-friendly climate being
inseparable pillars of Azerbaijan's economic reforms, continued
attention, paid by my Government to economic re-structuring is bearing
fruit. Major structural reforms, macroeconomic transformation have been
pursued to create modern structure of economy. The results are obvious,
with growth in key sectors far exceeding the overall industry growth
figures. For example, with average figure here being only 5,1% in 2001,
growth in engineering was over 25%, and in construction materials
production - almost 85%.
The April 25 meeting of Azerbaijan's President with the nation's
business people has become yet another crucial point documenting my
Government's dedication to promoting business development. The President
pledged his full support to entrepreneurs, wowing to remove the
remaining bureaucratic obstacles to their activity. We have a similar
meeting scheduled with foreign businesses in Azerbaijan early this
month. Government of Azerbaijan is going to revise existing regulations
and rules, paying special attention to the licensing process, with the
number of areas of entrepreneurship requiring licensing from the
Government to be reduced from over 250 to 70, with further reductions
upcoming.
Yet another of the recent developments was the April 24-26 Interfood,
the Eighth Azerbaijan International Exhibition for Food and Drink, Packaging and Food Technology, which focused on bringing my nation's
still restructuring agriculture closer to the world. Despite history of
being the main exporter of fresh, as well as canned, fruits and
vegetables to all the former republics of the USSR, as I have already
mentioned, we turned into an importer, largely because of the outdated
equipment we inherited after the Soviet Union's collapse. Now Azerbaijan
seems to be making a comeback in agriculture.
Let me once again emphasize the energy projects, which play significant
role in shaping the geopolitical image of the whole region. It is
obvious that Azerbaijan's oil and gas development is not merely an issue
of energy production and delivery. Azerbaijan has developed and
persistently implemented its own oil strategy with a major goal of
strengthening its independence and integrating with the international
community. Now, with numerous PSAs signed on oil- and gas-fields, we see
the multi-billion investments changing Azerbaijan's future.
In a relatively short period of time we were able to put in operation
two pipelines (Novorossiysk and Supsa). Again, the decision and
implementation were not easy. Now we are facing construction of the Main
Export Pipeline, which will lead from Baku through Tbilisi to the
Turkish Mediterranean port of Ceyhan. The MEP will become one of the
components of an extensive infrastructure to foster the economic
development of Azerbaijan and the entire region, becoming one of the key
elements of the regional cooperation, as well as an instrument of
ever-growing integration with the West.
The efforts of the Government of Azerbaijan are aimed at utilizing the
petrodollars, via the recently-established Oil Fund (created in January
2001), to change the balance in favor of the non-oil economy, despite
the fact that, as they say, "oil rules".
Azerbaijan will be a big gas, as well as oil, producer. In terms of gas,
we are both exporters and a transit country. By the year 2003 production
rate will be 4 billion cubic meters/year for export, and this amount
will grow another 5-6 billion a year, until the volume reaches 20
billion cubic meters.
This year is a very significant one for my country, because in 2002
several projects are becoming reality. First and most important, the
Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli oilfield project. Phase one of its development, a
$3,4 billion project, will take Azerbaijan beyond the "early oil" stage.
In early 2005 we expect the first "big" oil to flow. Also this summer we
expect the MEP detailed-engineering stage to be completed, marking
start of physical construction of the pipeline, for it to be ready in
time to carry the increased volumes. Parallel to this, the Shah Deniz
gas field will be developed. And we already have the trilateral
agreement with Turkey and Georgia to build Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum pipe to
carry Azerbaijan's gas to the ever-growing Turkish market. The idea of
further expanding my country's gas supplies to include Greece and other
European nations has been explored recently during the visit of an
official Greek delegation to Baku. And we'll be able to sell up to 1,5 billion cubic meters of gas to Greece by the year 2007.
Azerbaijan's aspiration to fully liberalize trade can be well-served by
our bid to join the World Trade Organization. We hope to see, with the
assistance of the TDA, which as recently as in March awarded my country
a $1 million grant to assist with WTO accession.
Availing myself of the opportunity to talk in front of the gathered US
Agencies' representatives, I would like to express how appreciative we
in Azerbaijan are of their assistance, including OPIC, TDA, Ex-Im Bank,
as well as that of USAID. Despite limitations of Section 907 of Freedom
Support Act, which existed until recently, these agencies have managed
to provide considerable assistance, including help with micro-lending
ventures and also seed capital.
The last but not least is the contribution of the US-Azerbaijan Chamber
of Commerce, which, for a number of years since its inauguration in
1996, pursued its objective of developing closer business ties between
the two nations. If you only take a look at the topics of their yearly
conferences, you will see how much they have done in familiarizing the
US business community and public with Azerbaijan. The Chamber has full
support of the President of Azerbaijan, who a couple of times himself
has been a speaker at those conferences.
In general, wrapping up my remarks, I would like to say that I am fully
confident: in my country's case, its economic performance will be one of
the pillars supporting its revival. We have done our utmost to achieve
that, and, in my opinion, succeeded in the most crucial task - to make
the economic transition irreversible. As for the rest, including
specifics of development, I don't know, who could have done better,
especially considering the realities in the region for the most of this
time. And now I invite you to play your role in Azerbaijan's further
economic re-emergence.
U.S. Assistance to Azerbaijan Post September 11, 2001
Ambassador Bill Taylor
Coordinator for U.S. Assistance to Europe and Eurasia
US Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce
Washington, DC
February 7, 2002
On February 7, 2002, Ambassador Bill Taylor, Coordinator for U.S. Assistance to Europe and Eurasia, addressed the United States-Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce (USACC). The following is a summary of his remarks.
In the wake of September 11 terrorist attacks, the world entered a new
era. Azerbaijan has been cooperative in fight against terrorism, which in turn led to further requests to work with the Azerbaijani government. However, Section 907 was an obstacle for the U.S. in deepening its cooperation with Azerbaijan and hence imposed serious challenges to U.S. national security interests. On January 25, 2002, President Bush waived Section 907 of the FREEDOM Support Act for 2002, thereby lifting restrictions on United States government assistance to the Government of Azerbaijan. The language of the waiver is important in that it allows us to work with, among others, law enforcement, judiciary and security agencies in Azerbaijan. The waiver created many new opportunities in terms of what the U.S. can do with the Treasury and customs. We still have to consult with Congress and plan to do that.
Two years ago the governments of United States and Azerbaijan formed the "US- Azerbaijan bilateral Task Force on Economic Reform, Market Assistance and Cooperation", co-chaired by Azerbaijan's Finance Minister Abas Alekberov and me. The Task Force meets approximately every six months; the most recent meeting took place in Baku in January 2002. One of the main issues discussed was the state oil fund. Azerbaijan is a pioneer in putting together a well-managed and responsible state oil fund. Azerbaijan created this fund, which currently holds a half a billion dollars, in order to avoid the adverse political and economic outcomes arising from sudden influx of cash associated with oil revenues. There are two fundamental questions for Azerbaijan: What kind of investment is Azerbaijan going to make with this oil fund? How is the fund going to be managed? It can either be used for long-term investment projects (such as investment in infrastructure,people and education) that are otherwise difficult to fund in order to spread the benefits to the next generation, or it can be used for managing macroeconomic imbalances in the economy. Transparency of this fund is especially crucial. Historical evidence such in the case of Nigeria shows that oil funds are unsuccessful in corrupt regimes. In case of Azerbaijan, the state oil fund is separate from the annual budget and is managed by a council elected by the Ministry of Finance and the President. Investing in projects co-funded by the EBRD or World Bank is another way of ensuring transparency, as these politically neutral forces would make decisions on investment projects. Azerbaijan is working in consultation with the World Bank and the IMF.The other issue discussed in the last meeting of the Task Force is the establishment of an "Investors Council" which is an opportunity for the public and private sectors to get together, identify problems and take them to the President. The Task Force also discussed prepaid taxes, an issue which is not unique to Azerbaijan but raised by many U.S. investors.
The Task Force also discussed issues surrounding Azerbajian's relations with the IMF and World Bank and accession to the WTO. Overall, the Task Force meetings aim to improve the investment climate. The next meeting of the Task Force is going to take place in September 2002. Regarding U.S. assistance, the overall request for the region in FY2003 was reduced, while that for Azerbaijan increased. The Administration tries to submit an honest budget. The country's ability to absorb resources is taken into consideration. The decision has to be a responsible one. The Administration is emphasizing security programs ans support for NGOs and students scholarships.
GUUAM has good potential and is developing ideas for cooperation.